The year 2024 is turning out to be a bad year for a national party like BJP. First, their “400-paar” failed miserably, now, it seems like they are going to lose Haryana Elections 2024. Why do we say that? Well, the massive in-fighting that we are witnessing in the Haryana BJP is something we have never seen before. BJP has been known to be a “Disciplined” political party.
Here is what’s going on in Haryana politics!
Why Haryana Elections 2024 Are Crucial for Both INDI Alliance and NDA?
As we all saw, the “Modi Magic” failed quite heavily in the Lok Sabha election. The upcoming Haryana Elections 2024 are a significant political event for both the INDIA alliance and the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the BJP. Haryana is a key state that often reflects larger national political trends. Both alliances see the Haryana Vidhan Sabha elections as an opportunity to strengthen their presence ahead of the 2024 general elections.
For the INDIA alliance, which includes Congress and AAP, Haryana offers a chance to demonstrate unity and test the viability of the alliance. The Congress has a strong history in the state, and its leader, Bhupinder Singh Hooda, is a dominant force. However, internal dynamics and negotiations with AAP over seat sharing may cause friction, making it harder for the alliance to present a unified front. If they succeed, this election could serve as a template for other states.
For the NDA, especially the BJP, the Haryana Election 2024 is critical to proving that the party’s grip on northern India is still strong. The BJP is aiming for a third consecutive term, but internal rebellion and ticket distribution controversies are making the race more challenging. Winning Haryana would reaffirm the PM Modi-led NDA’s influence in the region while losing could indicate cracks in the Modi Magic that have defined previous elections.
What’s Going on in Haryana Elections 2024?
As Haryana Election 2024 approaches, political tensions are running high, particularly within the BJP. The party’s first list of candidates led to dissatisfaction, with several leaders, including influential figures like Ranjit Singh Chautala and Lakshman Napa, quitting the party after being denied tickets. Chautala, an energy minister in the state, has announced that he will contest as an independent, while Napa has joined Congress.
On the other hand, Congress is experiencing its own challenges as it negotiates with AAP over seat-sharing. While Rahul Gandhi has advocated for ensuring an undivided vote for the INDIA bloc, former Chief Minister Bhupinder Singh Hooda is reluctant to concede more than 3-4 seats to AAP. This internal disagreement could impact the alliance’s electoral strategy, as Congress leaders believe they can win the election without needing AAP’s support.
This election is set to be a direct contest between Congress and BJP, with both parties vying for dominance in Haryana’s 90-seat assembly.
Why BJP MLAs Got Snubbed During Ticket Distribution?
One of the most contentious issues in the lead-up to the Haryana Vidhan Sabha election is the BJP’s ticket distribution. The first list of candidates released by the party led to multiple resignations, as long-serving members felt snubbed. In particular, Ranjit Singh Chautala, Lakshman Napa, and Bishamber Singh publicly expressed their disappointment. The common complaint among these leaders was that the party prioritized turncoats—those who had recently joined from other parties—over loyalists who had been with the BJP for years.
The BJP leadership, in its effort to strike a balance between various caste and community considerations, made some strategic choices in ticket allocation. However, this backfired in several cases, as the move alienated long-standing members, some of whom decided to contest as independents or even join opposition parties like Congress. The decision to give tickets to leaders like Ramkumar Gautam, a former JJP MLA, instead of established BJP members, has created friction within the party.
This internal discord is particularly concerning for the BJP as the party faces anti-incumbency sentiment and must ensure its voter base remains intact. These internal conflicts may weaken its position ahead of the Haryana Election 2024.
What Is the Current Situation of Haryana Elections 2024?
As of now, the political landscape in Haryana remains turbulent. The BJP, which is striving for a third term, is facing growing rebellion from within its ranks. Several prominent leaders who were denied tickets have either quit the party or decided to contest as independents. The revolt highlights deeper concerns about ticket distribution, caste dynamics, and the BJP’s electoral strategy in the state.
Meanwhile, the Congress-AAP alliance under the INDIA bloc is still negotiating how to divide the seats. Congress is skeptical about giving too many seats to AAP, as the party believes it has a stronger chance of winning on its own. The infighting within both alliances has added a layer of unpredictability to the Haryana Elections 2024.
BJP is also facing pressure to maintain its Modi Magic—the charisma and appeal of PM Modi, which has been a significant factor in previous elections. The results in Haryana will be seen as a referendum on both the BJP’s governance and Modi’s leadership.
Is BJP Losing Its “Modi Magic”?
One of the key questions surrounding the Haryana Vidhan Sabha elections is whether the BJP is losing its Modi Magic. In the past, PM Modi has been a major draw for voters across India, and his personal appeal has helped the BJP secure victories in many states. However, in the context of the Haryana Election 2024, several factors suggest that this magic may be fading.
First, the internal rebellion within the BJP shows that the party is struggling to maintain unity. PM Modi’s leadership has traditionally been seen as a unifying force, but the fact that long-standing BJP leaders like Ranjit Singh Chautala are leaving the party indicates a breakdown in party cohesion. The ticket distribution process, which has alienated several party loyalists, indicates that BJP’s electoral strategy is faltering.
Second, the anti-incumbency sentiment is growing in Haryana, and Modi’s appeal may not be enough to counter this. While BJP’s state leadership under CM Nayab Singh Saini has tried to address various local issues, the larger narrative is one of discontent. The party’s failure to meet expectations could diminish Modi’s influence in this election.
Lastly, the rise of Congress and the potential Congress-AAP alliance under the INDIA bloc presents a formidable challenge. In the past, the BJP has relied heavily on PM Modi to draw in votes, but with internal strife and a strong opposition, the party may not be able to depend solely on his popularity this time around.
Our Opinion:
New India and all our members think for the nation and not for a particular party. The unending cycle of Indian state elections has started again and the NDA alliance and mainly BJP is witnessing a lull period.
Many BJP stalwarts have left the part citing in-fighting and seat distribution as their main reason. However, the INDI Bloc is also struggling. In Haryana, almost everyone knows the three “factions” of the Indian National Congress. The “Hooda” clan on one side, the Surjewala group and the Kumari Selja faction, all have been butting heads to nominate their favorite candidates.
Both the INDIA alliance and NDA are facing internal challenges, with the BJP grappling with rebellion and Congress working through its seat-sharing dynamics with AAP. The outcome of this election will not only decide the next Haryana CM but also set the tone for the 2024 general elections. As the Haryana Vidhan Sabha elections approach, all eyes will be on how these political forces shape the future of the state.
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